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Tips for Winning the Lottery from a 7 Time Best ca lottery games to play />He describes as having a method.
He gives some good tips like setting a budget, not using grocery or other living related expenses to buy lottery tickets.
Buy 10 tickets in a row of the same game.
Most of the times, even two winning tickets.
Second tip: DO NOT buy quick picks.
He says you can't increase your chances by buying a random lottery ticket?
Is this guy high?
How does using your own numbers make your chances higher than a random number set.
What a crack pot.
He describes using quick picks as taking a loaded gun, putting on a blindfold, and trying to hit a target "It's not going to happen" he says.
What do you guys think?
Can anyone with some math confirm that using your own numbers and using a random quick gives you the https://reliance-pw.ru/best-games/best-tactics-games-ps-vita.html exact chances?
If he said "you can't increase your chances by buying a random lottery ticket," then he is right.
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If I ever played the lottery, I would use a quick pick to lower my chances of matching another winning best ca lottery games to play />Although my chances of winning wouldn't be higher, the probability of a larger prize would increase.
The problem with picking your own numbers is that many people pick birthdays or patterns on the ticket.
For instance, if you picked 1, 2, 3, 4, 5 with a power ball of 1, and you won, you would probably split that prize with 25 people.
As for the 10 ticket at a time thing, I think it's baloney.
Sure, you have a good chance of getting a winning ticket, but that ticket will probably be a push.
But, I've wondered about the randomness of free games pc best in printing process.
A bit off-topic, but I wonder if this guy's story has been discussed on these boards before?
I just joined a couple of months ago, but this story is about a year old.
Short version: a statistician figured out a https://reliance-pw.ru/best-games/the-best-looney-tunes-games.html to determine whether a certain kind of match-the-tic-tac-toe scratch-off lottery ticket was a winner by looking at the patterns on the visible tic-tac-toe boards.
Quote: CrystalMath As for the 10 best ca lottery games to play at a time thing, I think it's baloney.
Sure, you have a good chance of getting a winning ticket, but that ticket will probably be a push.
But, I've wondered about the randomness of the printing process.
The idea is you're more likely to win anything if you stick to one game, all other things being equal ie no info on whether the big prizes have been collected yet.
So buying ten tickets for game A is better than buying one ticket each of games A through J.
I see nothing wrong with that advice.
At worst it makes no difference.
The nonsense about quick picks is just nonsense.
When I played lotto every week, I would buy the same numbers every time and some quick picks.
I pooled with other epople.
At the high, or low, point we were about 7 people and we bought, I think, 40 tickets per drawing.
About 30 were the same numbers every week and the rest quick picks.
Overall we won some 3rd prizes three times.
Once with a quick pick.
So there :P But the best move I ever made in lotto was to quit playing it.
Quote: Nareed But the best move I ever made in lotto was to quit playing it.
Good donation to the children if anything.
Good donation to the children if anything.
Oh, I buy a ticket or two when the local lotto jackpot gets high, too.
And I play the weekly NFL lotto look it up, I explained it somewhere on the board during football season just for fun.
It's a harmless passtime.
Quote: AcesAndEights A bit off-topic, but I wonder if this guy's story has been discussed on these boards before?
I just joined a couple of months ago, but this story is about a year old.
Short version: a statistician figured out a way to determine whether a certain kind of match-the-tic-tac-toe scratch-off lottery ticket was a winner by looking at the patterns on the visible tic-tac-toe boards.
For starters, I own the book and talked to the guy for around 40 minutes, shooting the breeze.
I would kiss the ground he walks on if I had the chance.
Anyways, I dont care about scratch offs and never will.
A couple of his 'big wins' are from scratch offs but again, thats cool and everything but its not for me.
His BIG wins are from playing the tickets and CORRECT, he plays no quick picks.
He has looked up on the lotto web site different series of numbers to make sure they have NEVER hit in the past and plays MANY series per week, always sticking with the SAME set of numbers.
Hmmm, that sounds odd.
If I had to guess, probably more than 9 hours of research I might add.
read more keeps all losing tickets for tax reasons.
There are a couple other items in the book I won't discuss but he TAUGHT his daughter some of his tactics and she also won a large amount.
Lets also not forget the profits from best ca lottery games to play book sales.
I find something kind of funny on this board.
I would trade 20 of the top 'pros' cough on this board for one Richard Lustig.
Ken Best ca lottery games to play absolutely true that smartly picking your own numbers increases your EV in a lottery game.
You're no more likely to win, but you're likely to win gog best linux games on than you would playing quick picks.
Random quick please click for source can easily match the selected numbers of fools 1-2-3-4-5, the numbers from Lost, etc and easily result in shared jackpots.
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Information Collection, Use and Access Notice We collect and use the information provided to us on this form, via a web page, via a web application or by email in order to ensure the integrity of our promotions and games and provide advice, information, services, and assistance.
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This may include disclosing your personal information to Lottery affiliates and to other government agencies.
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For questions about this notice, ouror access to your records, contact the Lottery Privacy Coordinator at or write to: The California State Lottery - Attention: Privacy Coordinator.
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Tips for Winning the Lottery from a 7 Time Winner!
He describes as having a method.
He gives some good tips like setting a budget, not using grocery or other living related expenses to buy lottery tickets.
Buy 10 tickets in a row of the same game.
Most of the times, even two winning tickets.
Second tip: DO NOT buy quick picks.
He says you can't increase your chances by buying a random lottery ticket?
Is this guy high?
How does using your own numbers make your chances higher than a random number set.
What a crack pot.
He describes using quick picks as taking best free games in pc loaded gun, putting on a blindfold, and trying to hit a target "It's not going to happen" he says.
What do you guys think?
Can anyone with some math confirm that using your own numbers and using a random quick gives you the same exact chances?
If he said "you can't increase your chances by buying a random lottery ticket," then he is right.
If he said "using your own numbers makes your chances higher," then he is wrong.
If I ever played the lottery, I would use a quick pick to lower my chances of matching another winning ticket.
Although my chances of winning wouldn't be higher, the probability of a larger prize would increase.
The problem with picking your own numbers is that many people pick birthdays or patterns on the ticket.
For instance, if you picked 1, 2, 3, 4, 5 with a power ball of 1, and you won, you would probably split that prize with 25 people.
As for the 10 ticket at a time thing, I think it's baloney.
Sure, you have a good chance of getting a winning ticket, but that ticket will probably be a push.
A bit off-topic, but I wonder if this guy's story has been discussed on these boards before?
I just joined a couple of months ago, but this story is about a year old.
Short version: a statistician figured out a way to determine whether a certain kind of match-the-tic-tac-toe scratch-off lottery ticket was a winner by looking at the patterns on the visible best ca lottery games to play boards.
Quote: CrystalMath As for the 10 ticket at a time thing, I think it's baloney.
Sure, you have a good chance of getting a winning ticket, best aquarium games for pc that ticket will probably be a push.
But, I've wondered about the randomness of the printing process.
The idea is you're more likely to win anything if you stick to one game, all other things being equal ie no info on whether the big prizes have best ca lottery games to play collected yet.
So buying ten tickets for game A is better than buying one ticket each of games A through J.
I see nothing wrong with that advice.
At worst it makes no difference.
The nonsense about quick picks is just nonsense.
When Best ca lottery games to play played lotto every week, I would buy the same numbers every time and some quick picks.
I pooled with other epople.
At the here, or low, point we were about 7 people and we bought, I think, 40 tickets per drawing.
About 30 were the same numbers every week and the rest quick picks.
Overall we won some 3rd prizes three times.
Once with a quick pick.
So there :P But the best move I ever made in lotto was to quit playing it.
Quote: Nareed But the best move I ever made in lotto was to quit playing it.
Good donation to the children if anything.
Good donation to the children if anything.
Oh, I buy a ticket or two when the local lotto jackpot gets high, too.
And I play the weekly NFL lotto look it up, I explained it somewhere on the board during football season just for fun.
It's a harmless passtime.
Quote: AcesAndEights A bit off-topic, but I wonder if this guy's story has been discussed on these boards before?
I best ca lottery games to play joined a couple of months ago, but this story is about a year old.
Short version: a statistician figured out a way to determine whether a certain kind of match-the-tic-tac-toe scratch-off lottery ticket was a winner by looking at the patterns on the visible tic-tac-toe boards.
For starters, I own the book and talked to the guy for around 40 minutes, best ca lottery games to play the breeze.
I would kiss the ground he walks on if I had the chance.
Anyways, I dont care about scratch offs and never will.
A couple of his 'big wins' are from scratch offs but again, thats cool and everything but its not for me.
His BIG wins are from playing the tickets and CORRECT, he plays no quick picks.
He has looked up on the lotto web site different series of numbers to make sure they have NEVER hit in the past and plays MANY series per week, always sticking with the SAME set of numbers.
Hmmm, that sounds odd.
If I had to guess, probably more than 9 hours of research I might add.
He keeps all losing tickets for tax reasons.
There are a couple other items in the book I won't discuss but he TAUGHT his daughter some of his tactics and she also won a large amount.
Lets also not forget the best ca lottery games to play from his click sales.
I find something kind of funny on this board.
I would trade 20 of the top 'pros' cough on this board for one Richard Lustig.
Ken It's absolutely true that smartly picking your own numbers increases your EV in a lottery game.
You're no more likely to win, but you're likely to win more than you would playing quick picks.
Random quick picks can easily match the selected numbers of best ca lottery games to play 1-2-3-4-5, the numbers from Lost, etc and easily result in shared jackpots.
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A Thoroughly Scientific and Rigorously Mathematical California Lottery Game Play Analysis May the Best Game Win Abstract Systematic Lottery Betting: A Gambler's Approach Maximizing Long Term Jackpot Potential in a Negative Odds Environment Brett Paufler and Mr GigglesWorth 2014 By many gambler and non-gambler alike it is taken as fact that the even money casino table games craps and blackjack are the best bets available to a gambler.
And this may be if one's object is to play for as long as possible while sipping free drinks without loosing too much money.
However, we believe that rather than playing for enjoyment, to pass the time, or as a form of entertainment, the average gambler partakes of the pastime not as a leisurely pursuit, but rather as a means to an end: it being one of the few modalities open to them to turn a very small sum of money into a very large sum of money in short period of time.
And viewed in this context and as means to this end the popular table gambles are vastly inferior to the California State Lottery the only lottery the authors examine in this analysis.
In fact, we see that the long odds nature of the lottery more than makes up for it's low chance of winning after one takes into account the size of the jackpots involved: to the point if one wishes to win a million dollar jackpot, a lottery like game IS the ONLY REALISTIC wager open to a gambler.
But there are numerous lottery games with different and variable jackpot amounts.
Thus, given that a gambler has decided to make a long odds bet that one is extremely unlikely to win even if they lived for a thousand lifetimeswhich California Lottery Game is the best wager.
Best, is of course, subjective, and it is a trivial matter to make such a determination upon the size of the prize or raw chance involved.
It is our contention that the Return per Dollar is if not the best a better way to compare the various lottery games that offer jackpots at the prize level any individual gambler may wish to wager.
QUICK LINKS Generalized Gambling Analysis Lottery Specific Analysis Overall Analysis How to Figure the Best Game Charts Winning the lottery is a long shot endeavour, as are so many other things in life.
Fair in this context means that In, For, and To are all mathematically related.
And used in this sense, one does not normally find Fair games in either Casinos or State Lotteries the difference typically pc games ever reddit denoted as the House Edge.
Casino games are generally played at To odds with the wager staying on the table.
Race track betting is generally played at For odds as the bet is sacrificed in advance in exchange for a ticket that if it is a winner pays off a certain amount.
This would be an example of a 1 for 3 bet.
Prizes have nothing to do with chance, however, and so the lottery denotes these as 'Prize Amounts'.
As with Casinos, Race Tracks, and Sports Betting, the Odds and the pay off in the California Lottery are not directly linked.
It is in this fact if no other that might lead one to ask, 'Which game is the best game to play?
One Shot Longshots Winning the lottery is literally a one in a million chance; well, for the Mega Millions, it's one in 258,890,850 to be exact.
Relative chance of various long shot occurrences.
The graph shows the probability of certain rarefied events being selected at random from the total world population, the US population, winning the Mega Millions, and so on.
Shown below is the same information in table form.
Raw Odds Table for Armchair Philosophers Best ca lottery games to play Odds: 1 in World Population 7,000,000,000 US Population 309,000,000 Mega Millions 1st prize 258,890,850 Power Ball 1st prize 175,223,510 World birthRate 131,000,000 Super Lotto 1st prize 41,416,353 Mega Millions 2nd 18,492,204 Power Ball 2nd prize 5,153,633 US birthRate 4,240,000 What follows has more to do with philosophy than anything else.
It's a way of looking at the the world and one's place in it vis a vie the odds of certain remote possibilities that very many of us strive for in one way or another.
So while it is true that the World Population has nothing to do with the odds of winning the lottery, it is a benchmark of sorts.
For example, one Nobel Prize in Mathematics is awarded just click for source year.
All other things being equal, one's odds of being a winner of the Nobel Prize in Mathematics approaches 1 in the Birthrate of the World.
I hope that makes sense.
As a starting point in figuring the odds for any yearly worldwide event, the World Birthrate makes for a fine benchmark.
By the same token, if something is only going to happen to one person on the planet ever, one could do worse than start with the world population as the pool of possible candidates.
Of course, all things are not equal, but in the absence of additional data so as to narrow the selection, it makes for a starting point.
A more complicated example would be to figure sight unseen the odds that a random American second grader will grow up to become president.
I'm guessing that more folks wish to become Movie Stars or Rock and Roll Legends, Famous Authors, and so on than the president, but the odds for these things can be figured in a similar vein.
Take the total pool of possible applicants, which since life is a moving conveyor belt of interest and opportunity would be some birthrate, and then multiply that rate by how long a typical reign of popularity lasts average length of startdom and divide it by the number of 'successes' there are in the particular field of interest at any one time.
I like writing, so let's look at what might be a reasonable approximation for the odds that someone will grow up to become a Famous American Author.
Thus, the Odds of a Random American growing up to become an All American Author can be approximated at 1 in 1,060,000 or free 3 best downloads match game 1 in a Million.
Yet, many people strive for such an outcome.
And I suppose, one could argue the numbers.
But the essential point is that many folks will spend the time and energy it takes to write a novel in the hopes of fame and notoriety, but few will succeed.
Yet, and let me restate this, many will do so nonetheless, because 'You have to try', because 'Nothing ventured, nothing gained', because 'You have to do something with your life', and so on and so forth.
Meaning despite the odds, because of a long shot promise, a dream, or any number of other reasons, folks will write novels.
And it's not silly or futile or stupid or being ignorant of the odds.
It's in many ways because there are no other options.
Certainly, if one wants to become a celebrated author, one must write, despite the fact that most writing goes unread.
And here we come back to the lottery and what this seeming digression was all about in the first place.
Like the author who finds that no one is interested in their novel, the average person who buys a lottery ticket will not win a jackpot.
But to say that the average person will lose is an empty statement.
It has no meaning.
In almost every endeavour in which the rewards are as high as they are in the lottery in fact I am not aware of a single rarefied endeavour in which this is not true the number of people who will try, who will metaphorically buy a ticket, far outstrips those who will win.
But as they say, you can't win if you don't play.
And just like in writing books, the more one writes, the more likely one is to succeed; and, well, believe it or not, the more lottery tickets one buys, the greater their chances of winning the continue reading one.
And then, of course, if one chooses the right Lottery Games to play, one can increase their chances even more, which in the end is what this article is all about.
But first, let's look at how frequency of betting increases one's odds of winning the big one.
A chance of zero equals an impossibility.
A chance of one equals a certainty.
And all other values equalling some degree of probability between those two extremes in a more or less linear fashion.
Which means, quite simply, the higher the values on these graphs, the greater the degree of success.
And since the range of a probability distribution is known in advance somewhere between 0-1one can compare chance graphs quickly and easily, without worrying about the scale.
And so, with the generic bookkeeping out of the way, we can look at the above two graphs.
These show the increase chance of success of repeated trials over time buying multiple lottery tickets, selecting people at random from the world population repeatedly; and so on, they're not that lottery specific at this point.
And the first thing I want to point out is that as the charts start out on the left at the beginning, where 1 trial is increased to two, to three, and so onthe lines are virtually linear.
This means, that from a practical point of view, a person buying two lottery tickets has roughly twice the chance of winning as a person buying one; and a person who buys ten has essentially ten times the chance; and so on.
Finally, 100,000,000 freeware best games old maximum number of trials on graph on the left and 300,000,000 the maximum number of trials on the right are very-very-very large numbers.
But even after buying that many lottery tickets winning the Mega Millions jackpot would be far from a certainty.
And in fact, the lines sort of level out just short of the top of the chart as the number of trials increases, indicating that winning the lottery would never become an absolute mathematical certainty.
Of course, when you get right down to it, I don't really care about an 'absolute mathematical certainty'.
What I and most likely you really care about is winning.
So of more relevance is at what point might a player be reasonable certain of winning?
Trials Over Time The Sure Thing I am told that 80% of the beer in the world is consumed by 20% of the drinkers.
That 90% of the books are bought by 10% of the readers.
And if I had to guess, that perhaps 95% of the lottery tickets are bought by 5% of the players.
The exact numbers don't really matter, are debatable, and perhaps are a prime subject for another article.
The point is, nobody eats just one potato chip.
And people who 'play' the lottery don't buy a single ticket if they did, they wouldn't be 'players'.
Given pW, we can solve for n, which will tell us exactly how many trials tickets in the case of the lottery one has to do or buy in order to obtain a certain probability of success.
Two good numbers for this are 0.
However, we won't be winning the lottery 95% of the time or even 50%, 5%, or even 0.
The chart below pretty much explains why.
Number of Trials to Achieve 0.
Of course, the graphs below are also sort of meaningless, too, as the nature of the magnitude does seem to disappear into the gently sloping lines.
The first chart upper left, 0.
More than you, I, or perhaps even the planet is going to last.
The last chart in that series upper right, 0.
GigglesWorth could come up with a few suggestions.
But even at that level the time line for being assured of winning at the 0.
Let it not be said that I am delusional about my chances of winning the lottery.
Below is the same data at a 0.
Once again, the time spans indicated are all significantly longer than the typical human will be alive.
Years to Win Playing the Lottery 0.
So there, that looks pretty good.
The truth of the matter is those are pretty crappy odds.
However, all that said, one need not be delusional about one's odds at winning the lottery to consider the lottery a good bet.
Which is another way of saying that given that one is going to gamble, playing the lottery might just be I certainly free play first person shooter games that it is the best of all possible gambling alternatives.
And to understand my reasoning on this, we have to look at the nature of casino gambling and what is known in mathematical circles as The Gambler's Ruin Problem.
But before we get there, a little background first.
Let it Ride All Galaxy note for free 5 best games need is one good streak and I'll be set for life.
Do you feel lucky?
Often times in gambling books and articles especiallyit is claimed that craps is the best Casino Game to play as it pays-off as close to a Fair Odds Game Coin Toss in the chart below as a person is likely to find in a casino.
Of course, some people think that Blackjack is a better bet because they believe that card counting is a thing.
But counting cards doesn't really work as card counting systems are easily circumvented by casinos most easily and directly by simply reshuffling the deck whenever a large bet is made, which I've seen them do; so, there you are.
These are the odds I use throughout the rest of the article to compute the more involved statistics.
Of course, nobody plays this way.
And I mean nobody.
Well, first off, because table games have limits.
But secondly, because if you had a million dollars, would you really head off to Vegas to try and double your loot?
I know I wouldn't.
And the best way to do that the best way to maximize one's odds of doing that is to make a single bet and letting it ride until one has reached the appropriate level of wealth.
Odds of a One Bet Winning Streak for Various Casino Games Length of Streak 1 2 3 4 5 10 Coin Toss odds 1 in 2 4 8 16 32 1024 craps odds 1 in 2 4 8 16 34 1180 blackjack odds 1 in 2 4 10 21 46 2180 roulette odds 1 in 38 1444 54872 2085136 79235168 6278211847988224 The odds of winning 1 time in a row on any game is the same as the games odds for that game.
And the generalized formula for finding the one time winning streak odds is simply odds N, where N is the length of the streak in question.
What's fun about this table is that although the odds of a back to back winning streak in roulette is quite low, I'll eventually show that this is the best game of these four to play if one wants to increase their bankroll by more than a trivial amount.
So in other words, this is one way of looking at a bet, but maybe not the best way, because if one manages to beat the odds and win ten times in a row at roulette, while letting the money ride; well, if one could find a casino that would take that bet and they won, one would never have to work again in this life or the next or for countless lives to come.
So, let's look at this a bit closer.
Yes, the odds of winning one hand or a single spin at roulette are worse than those for craps, but the pay off is better.
So, chance and prize levels are not isolated statistics, but two parts of the whole.
And the best way to see how they play off one another is in my ever so freaking humble opinion to look at a graph.
Risk vs Rewards i.
Coin Toss is the highest line and pays off the best.
So, if you can find a millionaire, who likes to gamble, I'd say, give this game a go.
Interestingly, the next best game is roulette not craps, not blackjack.
We'll get into why soon enough, as the reasoning behind why roulette understand best realistic game ever phrase a better gamble than craps, also explains why the lottery is a better gamble still.
Speaking of the lottery Hey!
This is supposed to be a lottery gameplay analysis, right?
Please Note: The lottery jackpots are a moving target; and so, the potential winnings vary from draw to draw the dots go up and down on a regular basis.
This graph is based on information I pulled from the California Lottery Website on 7-11-14 for the 7-12-14 draw.
I think it's fairly representative.
But clearly, the jackpots amounts make a big difference -- something I shall go into in greater detail further down the line.
For now, suffice to say, that it would appear that the California Lottery games are on par with Blackjack -- a game which many consider to be about as good as it gets.
Of course and there's always an of coursethe above graph isn't based on the real world in that no casino is going to take a million dollar bet straight up; and letting the winnings ride is more of a movie thing than a betting reality.
And in this last, I might be off by a little.
But when I was a casino gambler back in the days of my misspent youth and before I knew any bettermy game of choice was roulette.
In other words, casinos impose limits.
Thus, because of betting limits, casinos can never hope to compare with lotteries.
But even with this qualification or shortcoming if we are going to be fair and honest or at least, rigorous in our comparison of lottery games to casino games, we should make some effort to take into account that most folks show up at a casino with a bankroll of a given size and divide this bankroll into smaller units call these units session limits and further divide these session limits into individual bets.
And this might not sound like such a bad policy, but it is and it's exactly the sort of behaviour that the mathematical problem known as the Gambler's Ruin was designed to analyse: a problem which we shall turn to next, and which will show beyond a doubt that blackjack is a suckers game.
Gambler's Ruin It's been the ruin of many a poor boy and Lord I know I'm one.
As in, previously I showed the chance that a single bet would result in a winning streak.
Well, the Gambler's Ruin Formula reveals the chance that any of a series of bets will result in an overall winning streak.
Or if that's still too complicated, it provides the overall odds for a gambling session: the odds one will win or lose in a trip to the casino.
However and I do seem to like that word, 'However,'the classic formula ONLY SOLVES ONE PARTICULAR CASE and that's for games that pay off at 1 to 1 odds Coin Toss, craps, and blackjack, but not roulette, which pays off at 35 to 1 odds.
So, if one is interested in higher pay out games which we are, the lottery being one of those higher payout gamesa heavier duty formula is required.
And I cannot begin to express how far beyond my capabilities deriving this formula would be.
Oh, I can apply it, but derive it?
So, I am grateful to Andrzej S.
Kozek for doing the heavy lifting for me.
Solution of a roulette-type ruin problem - a correction to: a rule of thumb not only for gamblers Andrzej S.
Kozek Stochastic Processes and their Applications 100 2002 301 best ca lottery games to play 311 Department of Statistics, Macquarie University, Sydney, NSW 2109, Australia Received 15 April 2001; received in revised form 5 February2002; accepted 14 February2002 Gambler's Ruin Python Code Please see Kozek's journal article if interested in the finer points of the formula.
My Python implementation follows.
It's slow - real slow measured in quarters of hours slow for C's in the thousands, which just isn't that high when one is hoping to win millions.
And it probably could do with some major refactoring like replacing my use of decimal with something faster.
And all the graphs and charts that follow derive from this code.
So, um, yeah, check my work if you want.
Decimal 1 - tq return pF I'm not going to get into the math nor even reprint the formula, pull Kozek's article if you're best x men video game />In short, what it does is compute the odds of ending up with C dollars more than one started with, given a game where the chance of winning is p, chance of losing is q mathematically, a tie would be a third optionand the pay off per bet is w.
And in truth, that doesn't sound much simpler, so maybe you'll just have to take it on faith that the formula works, the code is right heck, it might not beand the charts below list the odds 1 in x of doubling one's money from X to 2X.
Gambler's Ruin Tables - Odds of Doubling One's Money Given Different Starting Amounts Note: if starting with 1, one is only trying to wind up with 2.
While if one starts with 40, one is trying to wind up with 80.
For the most, the above is just a warm up.
Well, the chart below shows them there odds.
So in some sense, we're not really comparing apples to apples.
So, what's really interesting about the above chart is that roulette, which is often considered to be an inferior game to both craps and blackjack because the single game odds are worse -- i.
This is because roulette's pay off is greater; and so, one has to play fewer games to make the same degree of profit; which means, the House Edge has less time to take effect.
Notice how craps shines.
It's right up there with Coin Toss our 'Fair Odds' comparison.
Without a doubt, if all one wanted to do was win a handful of bets or make a handful of wagerscraps is the way to go.
And the above two graphs show how quickly roulette crosses over and becomes the superior betting strategy to either craps or blackjack if any significant degree of gambling is going to be done.
Please note the 'bump and skips' for roulette's as the amount won jumps over the amount roulette pays off.
Since roulette pays off at 35 to 1, certain prize amounts are easier to achieve.
I don't know if that's clear or not, but it's really not that important.
Let's just say, I'm not surprised by a hump in the roulette data, but I would be suprised to see one in the craps data.
Very quickly, the chance of merely doubling one's bankroll tends towards zero as the number of wins required increases.
In craps, it's minimal.
In blackjack, it's simply non-existent.
And as the prize level goes up the amount one is trying to win the chance only gets worse.
But the computations involved take a long-long time easily longer than 30min for the two last entries in the chart below and that's just for a single number, let alone how many point-samples a graph requires.
And then, let's be honest.
I'm a modern type guy.
I simply don't have the patience for my slow poke computer to spit out a graph if it's going to take more than a few seconds.
This means the change is exponential.
The lottery clobbers roulette.
And roulette clobbers craps.
But the progression is clear.
If one wants to win a million dollars, the lottery is the way to go.
No questions about it.
Traditional table games don't come close to comparing.
Please Note: Slot machines may have comparable outcomes to the lottery, but the last time I looked which was a long time ago slot machines did not come with complete odds charts; and until they do, I will consider them a sucker's bet.
Certainly, I do not take them as a serious alternative source the lottery.
There is a difference, but the derived odds from using such a mechanism are in the same magnitude of range as using the exact computations.
They are not, but the magnitude of difference just isn't enough for me to worry about.
And since the purpose of this page isn't mathematical purity but to simply determine which gambling wager is the best, the difference will be equal over all games and not effect our conclusions in any way.
And for the serious gambler, the only game in town.
As we saw in the previous section, when one wishes to increase their bankroll by a factor of 1000 or more, the California Lottery offers better odds better prizes at lower risk than any of the standard casino table games.
But not all California Lottery Games are created equal.
Note: the odds are tabulated by combining the odds for each individual prize level as indicated on the lottery website, which means the tabulations rely on incomplete information the number of tickets in a scratchers game is never stated; or at least, I couldn't find it.
Thus, there may be inconsistencies between the actual odds, the lottery's stated odds, and my computations.
I believe the level of these inconsistencies are so small as to be trivially unimportant, but with incomplete information comes uncertainty.
Anyhow, I'm guessing you just zipped through that last scrolled down as fast as you could; or at least, I would have.
And if one were to scroll down just a bit more, one might find maybe, probably, can't really guarantee it, individual results may vary, etc.
Lottery Odds Graphs One can say anything with statistics.
And maps only show what the cartographer wants to be seen.
The graphs below are truly things of wonder if I do say so myself.
The different prizes levels are segregated by color with the top most prize in each bar representing the prize with the highest dollar amount, which means as a general rule that the lowest prize amount the bottom bar in any vertical grouping has the greatest relative chance of being won.
Taller bars those that extend further longer vertically indicate better odds.
And although all the bars are scaled appropriately within each graph, the different graphs have different scales to better contrast the differences between playing strategies.
This becomes increasingly more important as we investigate the higher prize levels, because if we didn't selectively change the scale, all the bars would group on the bottom, as the chance for a million dollar prize is remains and shall ever be pretty darn close to 0.
You do remember those tables regarding how many years of high level play it would take to have a reasonable chance of winning?
Well, these graphs are for a single play with correspondingly lower chances.
The loaded images are quite large.
And if the screen is enlarged enough, all the text the exact chance and odds for each game as written below becomes legible.
All of the games appear in the same order from graph to graph and are for all California Lottery Games as were in existence on July 11th, 2014.
They appear from left to right on the graphs below as best ca lottery games to play are listed from top to bottom in the table above, which tabulates the results for the first graph: ANY Prize.
The graphs show the chance of winning any prize above the stated value with all prizes below the stated value 'reinvested' back into the game by buying additional tickets.
The graph at below right for any prize scales to a top probability of 0.
By the same token, the graphs further down the page scale at increasingly rarified probabilities.
Scale noted in top left corner of graphs, along the vertical axis.
Also, just a reminder, images are loaded large enough so if enlarged, the smallest of text is fully legible.
Name Game Chance Odds 1 in X Power Ball Power Ball 0.
The chances of winning are quite low as the table below the graph will attest.
Also note: Power Ball has a second jackpot that is typically worth more than a million.
It's like playing two games in one.
Either way, most of the height for the Power Ball column is for the lower jackpot red not the big one shown in green.
All one has to do is look at the published odds chart for the various games or look at the above graphs, which account for the reinvestment of free tickets and low level prizes and determine which game has the best odds.
And there's really nothing wrong with it.
However, it seems unlikely to me that you'd bother reading this article if you were satisfied with such an answer and even more unlikely like totally unlikely that I would spend so long composing an article such as this if I was satisfied with such an answer.
Or to put it another way, chance is only one dynamic of the lottery, the other is the truly staggering size of the prizes.
If one only looked at chance, one would always select learn more here the Super Lotto over either the Power Ball or Mega Millions, because the Chance of winning the Super Lotto jackpot is way way-way-way better than the raw chance of winning either the Power Ball or Mega Millions.
So, the question isn't and never has been what's the game with the best odds that's a trivial question.
The question is more like: Given that the chance of winning the Super Lotto jackpot is three times better than Power Ball lotto, but the Power Ball has a jackpot that's five times as large and a smaller jackpot that is often worth a million plusis one's money better spent buying two Super Lotto or one Power Ball lottery tickets.
Implicit in a question like that is an awareness of the jackpot prize levels and so any metric formula, guideline, etc.
I've been known to beat a dead horse.
I swear he was like that when I got there, officer.
But it's something which needs to be stated explicitly in a paper like this.
And having said it, now is the time to not best games for scratch final a closer look at the prize levels and see what kind of metrics can be derived there from.
Distribution of Prizes Chance vs Prize Level Graphs The following are scatter-plot diagrams taking the chance as computed for the chance graphs in the previous section plotted against the dollar amount of the prizes involved.
The vertical lines are due to the incremental nature of lottery game prizes -- i.
And by the time we get to the graphs below, what we find are two trend lines rather than the one I was expecting.
To my mind, it's a very informative split.
Typically by me if no one else a metric known as 'Return per Dollar' is utilized to analyse what is going on here.
And I will turn to that in just a moment after one last table that tabulates the prizes available at the different cut off levels.
But if you want the short form answer, the small prizes tend to disappear as most serious gamblers will simply reinvest these winnings.
In other words, they aren't really prizes.
And so this means in short formif one wants to develop a winning lottery or gambling strategy in generalthe trick is to avoid those low level prizes which have no way of leading to a real prize i.
California Lottery Distribution of Prizes There are many more smaller prizes than big prizes.
This should not come as a surprise to anyone.
In the end, the real problem with the above table and graphs isn't that they don't provide any information they provide plenty of informationit's that the information they provide is only a partial picture and in many ways taken out of context.
A Return per Dollar metric should add back the missing context without reintroducing any additional complexity.
Let's keep things nice and simple, shall we?
They say you get out of {life, love, friendship, marriage, a career} exactly what you put into it.
In gambling, the hope is to get out much-much more.
Return per Dollar is the part of each wager that a gambler may hope to have returned to them in winnings over the long haul.
In a fair odds game like flipping a coin that number is always 1 and is one way of knowing the game is fair.
In a positive odds game, the Return per Dollar is greater than 1.
While if one is playing against a crocked house and therefore, they are never going to win a dimeReturn per Dollar is 0.
For those familiar with the concept of a 'House Edge' how much the house -- a casino, for instance -- may expect to keep per handthe Return per Dollar is essentially the reverse and is how much the player may expect to have returned to them.
Return per Dollar versus House Edge Game House Edge Return per Dollar Coin Toss 0.
The reason craps is touted as being such article source good game by so many people is because it's House Edge is so low.
And since the two are related a low House Edge means a high Return per Dollar.
Since this isn't a very complicated concept and we all now know what Return per Dollar means, it's probably time to graph this metric.
The following graphs show the Return per Dollar best zombie survival video games every California Lottery Game as of 7-11-12breaking out the Return per Dollar for each individual prize what fraction of the ticket price is returned as prizes at each level.
Return per Dollar Graph for All California Read article Games Prize Levels are stacked lowest to highest so the uppermost band is the top prize in each game.
At far right is the Return per Dollar for Roulette as a point of reference.
This is exactly what a high odds gambler wants to see at least, if that high odds gambler is me.
In my opinion be it ever so humblethe price paid increase in House Edge click a 35 to 1 roulette payout to a million to one lottery payout isn't very steep.
It actually looks like a bargain to me.
In any case, opinion aside, the Return per Dollar for these games hovers in the 0.
I believe but don't really know how to confirm this that the Return per Dollar for Las Vegas slot machines is set by law at 0.
Please also note, the vertical extent of the second from top jackpot layer for the first game on the left Power Ball.
Since best ca lottery games to play of these prize amounts are parimutuel and increase slowly over time, if a jackpot goes long enough without anyone winning, the Return per Dollar would go over 1.
Return per Dollar Lower Amounts Lumped Together At some point, a low prize is nothing more than a free spin and should not be treated differently.
It goes to show how few prizes between those two levels there actually are.
And there's no reason to believe that best free games to try same doesn't hold true for the lottery as the typical player is not seeking to double or triple their money, but is looking for a much much-much-much larger win and will keep on playing until they either win or lose it all.
Which is really just another way of saying, the typical gambler I will claim to best ca lottery games to play no exceptionsimply plays until they lose.
What this means is that most of the money the lottery pays out all the area in red is in free spins: low level prizes that the average serious gambler which by default means the average lottery ticket purchaser will simply use to buy more tickets.
So, treating them as 'winnings' is misleading.
They are free spins.
They are a means to an end.
But they are not an end in themselves.
Or look at it this way.
You know when they say 'the lottery is for entertainment purposes' or something like that?
Well, all that stuff in red is the entertainment.
It should be noted that the draw games on the left have less red less scratching, less entertainment in themand by the same extrapolation, they are where the real gambling action takes place.
The games with the straight vertical lines are the Daily 3 and Daily 4: one prize, no bands.
Not bad propositions if one the games for pc to download for free seeking either a 500x or 5,000x return on their investment provided one allows that in the preceding the word investment is on par with swampland in Florida.
Anyway, this is an article about gambling, how to win, increase one's odds, and so on, and not how to have a good time scratching off a pile of tickets.
And so, treating is like anything else just doesn't make any sense.
So, remember those last graphs where I lumped all the lower level prizes together in red?
The graphs that follow are the exact same thing, except instead of lumping all those low level prizes together in red, I'm going to use those prizes to buy additional tickets in a virtual world, number crunching sort of way.
Return per Dollar Lower Level Prizes Reinvested If enlarged, all that text on these graphs is readable by me, at least.
I know I wouldn't.
But the reason to do so will become evident soon enough it's the only way to compare the higher prize amounts apples to apples.
But before we get there, I found an error in my calculations.
Daily Derby Sequential Return per Dollar with Prizes Reinvested Did someone say something about trying again?
First, it would be at this point that I located a rather small?
It's just not worth the time and effort.
Suffice to say, the results for the Daily Derby before this point are incorrect to some I believe, small degree.
And if you're primarily interested in that game, well, you have been warned.
I did, however, notice this while I was working on the Return per Dollar with Reinvestment Charts, so those have been updated.
But Where There's Smoke There's Always Fire Have I mentioned how NOTHING on this page is guaranteed?
Well, this is why.
Daily Derby Sequential Return Per Dollar After Reinvestment The WRONG Result Daily Derby Sequential Return Per Dollar After Reinvestment The RIGHT Result The only reason I was reviewing the Daily Derby Odds Chart was because I'd gotten some weird results.
The chart on the left is wrong.
I'd graphed out the Return per Dollar charts and when I looked at them in series, I noticed that at a certain level of reinvestment, the Return per Dollar for the Daily Derby went up.
Well, this is wrong.
I mean, come on, we're not idiots.
We all know that gambling is a losing proposition.
The more one gambles, the less money they can expect to have.
So a result that showed an increase in the Return per Dollar from increased gambling activity which is what reinvesting one's winnings is was simply wrong.
More gambling simply cannot increase one's Return per Dollar.
Long story short, I found the error and redid my charts.
But I relate this story, because that was an error I caught.
There could be other errors in my analysis.
In fact, I'm certain that there are several small insignificant errors in here somewhere.
There just have to be.
And though, I think I've found all the big ones.
What can I say?
I didn't think I had an error in my charts the first time I graphed them out.
So, really, who knows about now?
Me, I trust my analysis.
I'm willing to put MY money on it.
But if I were you, I'd cross my own t's, if you know what I mean.
And if you don't, please read the disclaimer at the end of the page.
In the meantime, I believe it's time to wind this thing down and put all that we've learned together into one easy to use chart.
But first, a review.
Gambling has always been a combination of various elements: among them, certainly chance, but in there somewhere avarice and greed.
If not why you're playing, it's certainly why I am.
Prize Level - Odds of Winning - Fairness of the Game Everything one needs to know about a gambling proposition in a nutshell.
PRIZE left : the higher the prize, the better.
RETURN right : the higher the return, the better.
So, really, the decision making process should be simple enough: all one need do is pick the game that has the highest bar in each graph and.
Well, so let's do that.
On 7-11-14 the date for which this data is validthe decision would appear to be simple enough.
Power Ball tops all the charts.
So, um, maybe I'm going to have to separate out those two prizes somehow, which really isn't going to be as easy as it might sound, since one always has to buy both wagers.
I mean, the simplest methodology would be to treat the jackpots as two stand alone and separate wagers; and then, if either stands on its own, one can bet on that and view the other jackpot as a sort of free spin, so let's see how we can do that.
Power Ball Analysis Options They say you can say anything https://reliance-pw.ru/best-games/best-free-games-in-pc.html want with statistics: the key being, one gets to choose which statistics to relate.
The following graphs show various analysis options when looking at Power Ball.
From left to right just in case the printing on the graphs is too small we have: high and click here jackpots combined, high jackpot only low simply removedhigh jackpot low reinvestedlow jackpot high simply removedand low jackpot high reinvested.
Power Ball Analysis Options Power Ball PRIZES Analysis Options Power Ball CHANCE per DOLLAR Analysis Options Power Ball RETURN per DOLLAR Analysis Options Why I'm bothering with this might not seem altogether clear, so let me try to explain, once again.
And for certain draws say for the draw I happened to base my calculations upon or I'd likely never have bothered to delve into this it might make sense to play the game for one jackpot but not the other.
Anyway, the specifics of my test data aside, the generalized question becomes, how can one tell when the Power Ball is worth playing -- whether it be for the high jackpot, the low jackpot, or both?
Now, this might not concern the casual gamer.
But the purpose of this article is to put together a methodology for picking the best game at any one time.
And to do that, I can't simply leave the two jackpots lumped together if confounds the graphs: the high jackpot drives the prize graph, while the low jackpot drives the chance graph.
Nor can I simply ignore the lower jackpot: it's a major prize and there are probably times when playing the Power Ball just for the lower jackpot is the best game in town.
So, the question is, how to break out the two jackpots.
And the easiest way would be to simply run the analysis twice: once ignoring the high jackpot; and then again, ignoring the low jackpot.
But that won't work for me, at least as I want to be able to know for any given draw which game is the best; and just like there will be times Power Ball is best just because of the low jackpot, there will be times when Power Ball is the best game in town due to a combination of both the high and low jackpots.
So, how to combine the two?
Well, I already have a sort of methodology.
So, I decided to 'reinvest' the lower jackpot when analysing the higher jackpot and 'reinvesting' the higher jackpot when analysing the lower jackpot.
And the graphs below show the outcome of that procedure.
California Million Dollar Plus Jackpots Power Ball Split by High Jackpot and Low First Bar is for the High Power Ball jackpot, low reinvested.
Second Bar is for the Low Power Ball jackpot, high reinvested.
Million Dollar Lottery Games PRIZE as advertised Million Dollar Lottery Games CHANCE per DOLLAR with reinvestment Million Dollar Lottery Games RETURN per DOLLAR long term expected And in those charts is a complete lottery analysis.
Criteria for Picking the Best Game So, how does one choose the best game?
It's a subjective question; and so, doesn't really have an answer.
But common strategies might include: PRIZE: go for the top prize.
The logic is simple: the actual chance of winning is microscopically small and doesn't change that much from game to game an opinion statementso one might as well play for the biggest prize.
If you agree with all that I don't, but if you dopicking the best lottery game is a no brainer.
Go for the one with the highest prize.
CHANCE per DOLLAR: is another perfectly fine metric to use and meshes perfectly with the philosophy that it is far preferable to win a small jackpot in this lifetime then wait several dozen lifetimes for a much larger jackpot reincarnation not guaranteed nor is it underwritten by the authors of this website.
I mean, one still might not win playing the better odds games and in fact, one still probably won't winbut the overall odds would certainly be better if one simply selected the game with the best chance to win and stuck with it.
But even better, Chance is not a dynamic metric.
If we answer that question once, we've answered it until new games are introduced as the base odds don't change from draw to draw only the prize amounts.
Want to Win a Millione Dollars in the Lottery?
These two games offer the best odds if not bang for the buck.
However, the two games are not completely identical as some of the lower level prizes differ and that results in s867 having slightly better odds after reinvestment for the top prize.
Yes, I like to gamble.
Yes, I like scratching off tickets.
Yes, I'd rather buy a stack of tickets rather than just one.
Which is an acknowledgement that there are other things that I consider when purchasing tickets than a mathematical analysis.
Want to Win a Millione Dollars in the Lottery?
Obviously, I'd be watering down my odd in order to get a little gameplay action.
All of which leads us to our final metric: RETURN per DOLLAR: I mean, chance is all fine and dandy, but does the prize align with the risk?
Chance doesn't really address this.
Return per Dollar does.
For the data presented above based on the 7-12-14 draw, collected 7-11-14the clear winner in the Return per Dollar category is the Low Jackpot for the Power Ball.
But that conclusion only holds for that particular draw and the data that is required to reach that conclusion changes from draw to draw, so any meaningful analysis will have to take that into account.
But having analysed the scratchers once, we don't have to continue comparing them time and time again, because they're static.
Until a new scratcher game is introduced, we can select a best of category for all scratchers games.
And that's a sort of answer to the question of what's the best California Lottery game to play if one wants to make a million dollars.
A player can't go too far wrong playing either of the above games.
And for the 7-12-14 draw, the Low Jackpot for the Power Ball beats out Super Lotto by a small margin, so I'd probably go in with a mix on the two games probably dollar for dollar.
But we all know it's no longer 7-12-14, data for that draw is a bit dated, and next week assuming none of us have won in the meantimewe're all going to be back in the same position of deciding which games to play and the Return per Games best pot charts I drew up for the 7-12-14 game just aren't going to be any good.
And although it might be much handier to have a simple website that only posted a single Return per Dollar graph, at the moment, tapping the lottery database dynamically on the fly and then automatically output a graph is, well, beyond my humble programming abilities.
So, the next best thing is a look up chart graph reallywhich a person can use to eyeball the different games, compare them apples to apples, and determine where to lay their bets.
But if I ever do put together a dynamic website with daily updates, I'll put the link here.
Or if you would like me to put together some custom graphs for a particular draw, well, let's just say that I can be bought and leave it at that.
But seriously, why you would want to part with hard cash that could be much better spent buying additional lottery tickets.
A Simple Graph by which to Compute the Return Per Dollar for the Major California Lottery Jackpot Games Overall Return per Dollar Comparing Various Jackpots The chart above is really all one needs know about Return per Dollar and the California Lottery.
And so, if you understand this one, you'll quickly realize that all the others that follow are just highlights enlarged sections and special cases of this one.
So, video games stocks best read the graph: 1 Trace along the bottom of the graph until you get to the current jackpot amount for the game in question.
The scale for this graph is 1-10 1e7 whatever in whoever's name that means, ten million to a hundred million would be my guess; but seriously, I've always sucked at exponents.
This site is supported by generous gamers like you who having utilized this system graciously or not so graciously, I'm really not particular choose to donate 1% of their winnings or more, we'll happily take more to the upkeep and support of this valuable resource.
And, of course, towards making bigger freaking graphs!!!
Oh, speaking of which.
Below this point, the scratchers click in the previous section are better plays.
Let someone else build up the jackpots.
In the meantime, please feel free to play without me.
Ironically unfortunately, coincidentlythe High Jackpot for the Power Ball and the Mega Millions have the same graph line for the data I used, but that's not always the case.
Or in other words, a picture is worth a thousand words.
Power Ball Jackpot InterDependence Graphs Low Jackpot on the Left - - High Jackpot on the Right because I have a hard time remembering Power Ball Low Jackpot Return Per Dollar for various high jackpot amounts Power Ball High Jackpot Return Per Dollar for various low jackpot amounts Power Ball Low Jackpot Return Per Dollar enlarged Power Ball High Jackpot Return Per Dollar enlarged These work pretty much the same as the previous the only difference being that the line one matches up to is determined by the value of the other jackpot the line used for the Low Jackpot is determined by the High Jackpot and vice a versa.
Both of which are higher than the best Scratcher RpD of 0.
Like I said, simple.
Bigger is Better Bigger Jackpots, Bigger Graphs Seriously, nothing new here.
My California Lottery Betting System.
Conclusion 27 19 44 3 9 - 4 Forget the rest, these five numbers are all you really need to know.
Just kidding, of course.
But you can bet that if you bet on these numbers, we'll be splitting the jackpot.
Just saying Want The bullet point summary?
I hope you have enjoyed the ride.
Remember: a Return per Dollar system will NOT maximize one's chances of winning.
To do that, all one must do is pick the game with the best odds i.
What a Return per Dollar system does is maximize one's winnings over the long haul.
In other words, if one were to play for a million-zillion years, betting the same amount on each draw each time betting on the game with the highest Return per Dollar, one would expect to have more Dollars Returned to them and thus have a higher total than a gambler who utilized either a Chance Based System or a High Prize System.
However, ALL PLAYERS would using any system would expect to have LESS MONEY that if they simply HAD NOT GAMBLED AT ALL.
Eat your Ovaltine Kids!
And remember, gambling is a sucker's bet.
I am poor but fond of money.
Please send me some.
You would not believe how many lottery tickets I had to purchase in order to do all the 'research' writing an article such as this requires.
Anyhow random begging asideif you found this page of use and would like daily updates, please email me.
If enough people express an interest, I'll put click a page that updates daily and provides information on the current draw conditions.
Or, you know, I've said it before, I'll say it again, I can be bought.
Also feel free to send along any comments, concerns, or corrections.
Have a better metric that Return per Dollar, I'd love to hear about it.
GigglesWorth's great joys in life is breaking the bank.
Shown here, he is working his 'system' on the California Lottery, which he won on November 29, 2005.
GigglesWorth's 'system' involved reading the paper the day after the draw to discover the winning numbers and then proceed to carefully draw said numbers onto a lottery ticket blank.
When this little ruse was eventually discovered forgery they called itMr.
GigglesWorth was found guilty of crimes too numerous to mention here and sentenced to 2 years in a cardboard box.
Out on parole, he swears he is a changed JibberJabber, spending his time finding new homes for abandoned stuffed animals and educating gambling newbies into the folly of betting against him in any endeavour whatsoever.
Pick a card, any card.
I'm probably wrong somewhere.
I am neither a professional mathematician, gambler, statistician, graph maker, nor programmer.
There might be errors in my analysis from any and all of these factors, perhaps other categories of which I am not even aware.
And they might be very significant in nature undermining all of my conclusions.
Personally, I don't think that's the case, but those who are wrong so seldom realize that they are.
GAMBLER BEWARE MAKE YOUR OWN DECISIONS NOTHING WARRANTED NOTHING GUARANTEED SERIOUSLY, MY BEST FRIEND IS A JIBBER JABBER AND WHENEVER I WAS STUMPED I ASKED HIM FOR ADVICE YOU HAVE BEEN WARNED ยฉ 2014 Copyright Brett Paufler "Yeah, gambling is all fine and dandy," you say, "but what about UFO's?
But if interested, you might want give this guy's website a gander.

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